If the "surge" is declared a success, will Bush bomb Iran?
One common reaction to calls for a military strike against Iran (like that floated
by Joe Lieberman yesterday) is that it would make the existing mess in the region even worse. And that makes sense.
But if the neocons and Petraeus say
things are getting better, even though the surge results are mixed (or worse), that may boost the Cheney faction's cred within the White House. And it will tend to justify the notion that a military solution is the way to go, not only in Iraq, but also Iran.