Smoothing it out:
If you take the numbers
of coalition troops that have died in Iraq, you get the following bar chart (light blue):
And if you plot a 36-month moving average*, you get the red line
. That's what Bush calls progress.
May already has 75 fatalities. If there are 85 for the month, the moving average will continue to rise.
* - 1 to 35 month moving average for the first 35 months.
> That's what Bush calls progress.
Actually it's the cost of progress.