Sunday, May 20, 2007
One Friedman Unit from now:
Jim Hoagland writes
[The Iraq government] is a government that barely exists and should be changed. But that change should come not from U.S. intervention but from fresh national elections, to be called and overseen by the United Nations this winter. New elections provide the best chance of achieving workable power- and revenue-sharing arrangements in Iraq. It is vital that Iran encourage the majority Shiite population in Iraq to accept such elections and arrangements.
Is there a civil society in Iraq yet? The rule of law?
Pity that all those political science studies (you know, reality based rather than faith based analysis) conclude that there is a distinct order of events required for democracy to work, and that holding elections at the start of this chain, rather than at the end, is a recipe for disaster.
Now comes Darth Cheney who wants to Throw out al-Maliki and install CIA and Saudi stooge Iyad Allawi as the second coming of Sadaam to get the Oil Law passed and use force to bring about yet another turned corner. But this is too predictable: we pull off the overthrow of al-Maliki in September and the installation of Allawi, and then the Bush Administration can argue that another year is needed for us to give the new government a chance to succeed.