Thursday, January 25, 2007
Predicting the 2008 candidates:
This blog predicts that the candidates that will get the party nomination for president will be:
- Democrats: John Edwards
- Republicans: Sam Brownback
Why? Edwards is pursuing the key demographic that a Democrat needs to win in the primaries (just like Bill Clinton did in 1992). Brownback is the only viable social conservative. Romney is too weird. McCain is too old and making a mess of things.
UPDATE/QUALIFICATION: If Gore decides to run, then he'll probably get it.
Edwards, Obama, and Clinton may end up splitting the same demographic of middle aged women that is a big slice of the primary. Obama will get more youth vote (small as that is). Clark can clean up with white males.
It's a complete toss up.
Brownback? Really? As a reality-based life form, I like the idea or runnging against him (I think). But, Brownback? Could They really nominate that guy? Would that ensure a McCain/Lieberman laff riot?
Don't write off Gingrich. Sure he divorced his first wife on her deathbed, then divorced his second wife so he could run off with his intern during the Clinton impeachment, but conservatives don't care about what you do in your personal life. It matters what you tell other people to do in their personal lives.
Right now, Edwards does seem like the most likely survivor among the top-tier candidates. Clinton has been too cautious. The GOP promises to be a real food fight, probably all about who is the real wingmut. Brownback has the fetus people, but Huckabee, who is shrewd and seems more likeable, may have a better shot. McCain is imploding and he can't do enough to suck up to the wingers. I think the real wingers will find ways to "dog whistle" Newt's liabilities.
Now predict Vice Presidential running mates...
Sec State: Lieberman
unless the dems actually bring impeachment to the floor in which case it would be lieberman as vp instead.
Think of the advertising-'we're reaching out across party lines to get the non traditional voters.'
and of course the campaign promise:
'we wont go on a massive killing spree.'
history will record:"they promised more then they could deliver"
Im predicting S-man narowly beating out Mccain brownback and voldemort in the nasties
have you heard edwards' iran comments?