The U.S. will not attack Iran in the next twelve months:Okay, that was a provocative lead. But, given that the
Iraqi Study Group is planning some sort of exit from Iraq which involves cooperation from states in the area, wouldn't a strike on Iran totally destroy any proposals by James Baker III?
posted by Quiddity at 10/17/2006 09:39:00 AM
My bet: Attack on Iran on the 22nd or 23rd of October 2006 (i.e. the next moonless night). All ships will be in place by the 21st (coincidence?).
If that does not happen and the Dems do not gain majority, the attack will be started post-election in either November or December.
This will be a navy/airforce operation with the army not directly involved (no risking ground troops apart from special forces).
It will be claimed to be authorized by the "9/11 resolution" as part of the GWOT, thereby not needing a placet by congress. It will be justified with North Korea and the need to stop Iran from imitating Kim's success.
HB
The Bush style would be to start military action a day or two after the election is over.
Oh, and don't get excited about the Baker report. Last time I checked, Bush was still commander in chief and if James Baker offers him two or more choices that he doesn't like, Bush will simply ignore Baker.