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Saturday, April 09, 2005

We explain it all in this post:

Why is it so crazy out there?

The latest development is that at an anti-judge conference (!) one of the attendees, lawyer-author Edwin Vieira, said his "bottom line" for dealing with the Supreme Court comes from Joseph Stalin. "He had a slogan, and it worked very well for him, whenever he ran into difficulty: 'no man, no problem.'"

Also, at that conference:
"I am in favor of impeachment," Michael Schwartz, chief of staff to Senator Tom Coburn, Republican of Oklahoma, said in a panel discussion on abortion, suggesting "mass impeachment" might be needed.
That's outrageous, you say. And it is. But what's making this conservative clock tick? We followed up and looked at characters involved with the conference (and elsewhere) and found that in addition to attacking the judiciary, these people want to:
  • End Social Security
  • Return to the gold standard
  • Eliminate public schools
To name a few goals.

What they all have in common is extreme distrust of the government. They don't trust the government to maintain a fiat currency. They don't trust the government to continue to run a 75-year old social insurance program. They don't trust the government to educate their children. They don't' trust the government to apply the law.

Why?

The government is, broadly speaking, representative of the society around us. If you don't trust or feel comfortable with the people in your neighborhood (or city or state or nation), you certainly won't feel comfortable with the government.

Before we go any further, we acknowledge that the current crop of wild right-wing characters are in a distinct minority. They do not represent all conservatives. But they do indicate feelings that lurk beneath the surface for many people.

That said, it is our firm belief that the reason for the current anti-government, pro-family and pro-religion trends is a fear that the nation is transforming itself into something unfamiliar. Something alien.

Consider the following facts: (emp add)
In recent years, Hispanics and minority racial groups (defined here as racial and ethnic groups that make up less than 50 percent of the population and include non-Hispanic blacks, Asians and American Indians) have each grown faster than the population as a whole. In 1970 these groups together represented only 16 percent of the population. By 1998 this share had increased to 27 percent. Assuming current trends continue, the Bureau of the Census projects that these groups will account for almost half of the U.S. population by 2050. Although such projections are necessarily imprecise, they do indicate that the racial and ethnic diversity of the United States will expand substantially in the next century.
That's real change. 33% over 80 years. Also, the sense of the nation being "under assault" by swarthy foreigners was given a huge boost with the Al-Qaeda attacks in 2001. A huge boost. And even though Indians are over in Asia, they're only a Dell-support-center phone call away. Yikes! They're comin' at us!

What we get is a panic reaction. A retreat to safe havens like the home and the church. And rage at public institutions. And while we're at it, just to be safe, why not put all Arabs into internment camps? (Malkin) Or perhaps, fantasize about leaving them all behind to taste the torments of hellfire? (LaHaye) Speaking of the latter, if that isn't exclusionary, what is?

This explains the reason why many people are drawn to Bush's persona. The protective father and all that. Only the father is not so much protecting us from foreign threats, but from a vague, inchoate threat coming from the inside.

We could even engage in some speculation on the subject. The move of southern racists from the Democratic party to the Republican party signaled to those concerned about a transforming United States, that Republicans are the best bet for preserving, somehow, the white culture.

POLITICAL DETOUR: Forget the framing. Forget being Beinart-tough on foreign policy. Forget just about everything. As much as we deplore racism, it seems to be a constant in human affairs. In the last century racism was a substantial political force. Why should it disappear in the 21st century? Anyone offering strategic advice to Democrats must address the demographic and cultural "threats" perceived by many white Americans.

RELATED: Until people feel more like they're all part of the same group, it will be hard to generate support for any redistributionist policies. Or "social" anything. Perhaps that explains the bizarre reintroduction of the conservitive epithet "socialist" which is often applied to completely-in-the-mainstream Democrats and Republicans.

On the bright side, intermarriage and the passing of generations can do much to reduce the fears. And we have accepted, and continue to do so, increasing diversity. One hundred fifty years ago being German-American put you outside the mainstream. One hundred years ago Irish and Italians were outside the mainstream. We don't do it anymore, but in the past, people were very sensitive to the small differences between Caucasians. One could look at the bone structure and make a good guess as to what part of Europe somebody was from. Back then, it was a learned behavior, and not all that hard to do. (Study faces for an art class and you will quickly see the metrics that determine a person's visage, and therefore, the ethnicity.) But today, "all whites look alike," to abuse the cliche.

So whatever process ground down the inter-Caucasian tensions should, over time, do the same for tensions arising from increasing numbers of Mexicans, Chinese, Africans, and others. It will take time, however.

Short term politics? Hard to say. Democrats are behind the 8-ball on this. They are perceived as being more "ethnic friendly" which doesn't get the votes in Wyoming. It will take major economic distress in order for the Democrats to return to power. Until this country has adjusted to its new demographics, which might take until 2030, we are likely to see the continued thrashing by distressed whites. And because of that, a continuation of right-wing extremist talk, and action.


POSTSCRIPT: Are we too focused on race and ethnicity? We try not to be, but our thought process was this: Read about the mistrust of fiat currency. Then mistrust over Social Security. The way the arguements were made, it seemed more like mistrust with one's fellow citizen, and less with a specific policy. And in trying to think what would lead people to such a position, we couldn't think of anything besides a demographic change, which, as it turns out, is taking place and is substantial.

UPDATE: changes made to improve clarity and spelling


7 comments

Longterm the best thing to ever happen to the Democratic party is losing the racists to the Republicans. This process has been playing out literally through my entire life (born in 1957 when I believe Strom bolted) and has lost the party formal control of the levers of power for the time being. But I like the fact that Bull Conner and Phil Gramm are now formally on the other side of the street. The Democratic Party had to live with a Congressional cast of Chairmen who were unconstructed rascists throughout the sixties. Good riddance to bad rubbish.

By Blogger Bruce Webb, at 4/10/2005 5:24 AM  

I think you are right on the money with your analysis and I have to wonder at this point if we are simply hard-wired to be racist. Nature over nurture is the only rational explanation I can find for racism enduring as long as it has and as such I find your projection for things settling down around 2030 a bit optimistic. I say it might be 2070 before race relations start to normalize again in America.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 4/10/2005 7:00 AM  

Scary stuff like this always makes me go back to Obama's keynote at the DNC.

"Well, I say to them tonight, there’s not a liberal America and a conservative America—there’s the United States of America. There’s not a black America and white America and Latino America and Asian America; there’s the United States of America."

By Blogger Patrick Berry, at 4/10/2005 9:05 AM  

I liked the post. My question is how do the Bush brothers court the Hispanic and fundamental vote so well? Martinez is discussed in the post below as being on the front lines with Delay et al on Schiavo. Interesting how they can get the message out to Hispanics that they are on their side, while sending word to the base that they don't trust minorities.

One would hope like Patrick commented that the Obama approach will win over the long run. What is the option to inclusion - minority discontent and riots? Are we headed that way again?

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 4/10/2005 12:04 PM  

The Schwartz statement is actually even more outrageous. He talked about putting the judges he doesn't like in prison, but that sentence mysteriously disappeared from the NYT.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at 4/11/2005 4:46 AM  

The irony for me is that while conservatives fear a third-world population increase in the USA, conservative economic policies ARE turning us into a third-world nation. The debt, the income inequality/concentration of wealth, the loss of quality jobs. I hope not to see it, but I will not be surprised if in my lifetime I start to see the crime, social unrest and insecurity, plus men, women and children begging on the streets, that you see in third-world countries.

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