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Tuesday, April 07, 2009

The Glenn Beck connection:

It was inevitable. From the ADL:
Richard Poplawski was a white supremacist arrested in Pittsburgh on April 4, 2009, for the murder of three Pittsburgh police officers responding to a domestic violence call. ...

Poplawski ... found expression for his hateful opinions on Stormfront, the world's largest white supremacist on-line discussion forum. ...

Following the Super Bowl victory of the Pittsburgh Steelers in early February 2009, Poplawski used the celebrations that occurred in Pittsburgh as an opportunity to "survey police procedure in an unrestful environment," and reported the results of his reconnaissance to fellow Stormfronters. "It was just creepy seeing busses [sic] put into action by authorities, as if they were ready to transport busloads of Steeler fans to 645 FEMA drive if necessary."

This last comment was a reference to popular right-wing conspiracy theories about Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)-constructed prisons and concentration camps for U.S. citizens. ...

Poplawski bought into the ... conspiracy theories hook, line and sinker, even posting a link to Stormfront of a YouTube video featuring talk show host Glenn Beck talking about FEMA camps with Congressman Ron Paul.
Here is Glenn Beck on FEMA:
I have to tell you, I am doing a story tonight, that I wanted to debunk these FEMA camps. I'm tired of hearing about them -- you know about them? I'm tired of hearing about them. I wanted to debunk them.

We'll we've now for several days been doing research on them -- I can't debunk them! And we're going to carry the story tonight.
That was in Mid-March. After the murder of the police, he probably got a memo from Rupert Murdoch. Crooks and Liars reports:
... yesterday, Glenn Beck actually did a very good thing on his Fox News show: He completely eviscerated the conspiracy theories about supposed "FEMA concentration camps" that have been a favorite of the right-wing lunatic fringe for some time now.

It is in fact an impressive and thorough debunking of the rumors, led by Jim Meigs of Popular Mechanics, who's very good at this kind of work. Meigs, as it happens, concludes that these theories originated in the 1990s with the Patriot/militia movement.
Too late, Glenn.



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Roland Hedley is still Twittering:

Even though it got exposure from the Doonesbury cartoon strip a month ago, ol' Roland continues to dispense his valuable thoughts.



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No more "toxic assets":

The term "toxic assets" grates. Perhaps because within the word "toxic" is an implication that the toxicity can be reduced or eliminated, which, for the credit default swaps seems extremely unlikely. And the word "toxic" also implies some sort of tested-in-the-lab analysis (pace "poison" which is a concept that goes back thousands of years).

Far better is the terminology in this story:
Geithner Wrong, Crap Assets Correctly Priced, Say Harvard And Princeton Profs
Yeah, they really should be called "crap assets".



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Shorter Richard Cohen:
The government-business revolving door is good for America. Also, I'm completely ignorant of Larry Summers' role facilitating massive deregulation of the financial markets.


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Monday, April 06, 2009

Living on the (economic) edge:

Are you trying to manage your budget to get by in these tough times? Perhaps paid down debt (e.g. credit cards) and penny-pinching on everything else? Worried about your income, or lack thereof?

Ali Velshi of CNN has these thoughts:
I almost wonder whether people who live close to the edge, but don't carry a lot of debt are not as affected by this recession. They've sort of been living in that state for a while. There's not a lot of room they've had to fall.
If you've been living on the edge for a while, then you haven't been affected as much as, say, billionaire bankers. So enjoy your time on the edge. Just don't fall off.



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Sunday, April 05, 2009

Rod Dreher doesn't know his bible:

That's all there is to say.

Well, actually you could say a bit more: Rod Dreher is obsessed with homosexuality.

It's your call as to why.



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Saturday, April 04, 2009

David Broder is a moron:

This Sunday, David "I see bipartisanship everywhere" Broder writes:
When Congress comes back from its two-week recess, members of both parties will be invited to the White House to celebrate what is, in today's context, almost a miracle: the signing of the Serve America Act of 2009.

Congress adjourned on Friday for the Easter break with the usual sounds of partisan struggle filling the air as the House and Senate rushed to pass the budget resolutions for next year. Nothing that one party proposed found favor with the other. Feelings were, once again, rubbed raw.

But eight days earlier, when the Senate approved a slightly modified version of the House-passed national service act by an overwhelming 79 to 19, the atmosphere was completely different. Democrats were congratulating Republicans and Republicans were praising Democrats. ...

Despite all the goodwill, 19 senators, all Republicans, including the party's two top leaders, voted against the law. The arguments were spurious.
Here is the Senate vote record.
Democrats: 100% present YEA (includes Sanders & Lieberman, Dorgan not voting)
Republicans: 53% present YEA (non absent)

And what about the House? The vote there was:
Democrats: 99% present YEA (1 NAY, 2 absent)
Republicans: 40% present YEA (104 NAY, 6 absent)

Bipartisanship is a majority from both parties supporting a bill. That did not happen in the House (and was barely met in the Senate by a mere 2 votes). But because some Republicans voted for a bill, and because Broder pays attention to the Senate and not the House, he declares a victory for bipartisanship.



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They paid for a speech, and only for a speech:

WSJ:
Top White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers received about $5.2 million over the past year in compensation from hedge fund D.E. Shaw, and also received hundreds of thousands of dollars in speaking fees from major financial institutions.

A financial disclosure form released by the White House Friday afternoon shows that Mr. Summers made frequent appearances before Wall Street firms including J.P. Morgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Lehman Brothers. He also received significant income from Harvard University and from investments, the form shows.

In total, Mr. Summers made a total of about 40 speaking appearances to financial sector firms and other places, with fees totaling about $2.77 million. Fees ranged from $10,000 for a Yale University speech to $135,000 for an appearance paid for by Goldman Sachs & Co.
Over $100K from Goldman. For a speaking appearance and nothing more.



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Friday, April 03, 2009

Looks like the recession is over:

From the WSJ:
DJIA Has Best 4-Week Streak Since 1933

On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 39.51 points, or 0.5%, to 8017.59, its highest close since Feb. 9, bringing its advance to 3.1% on the week. That was the fourth straight week of gains, and at 21%, the biggest advance for this kind of four-week streak since May 1933. The broad Standard & Poor's 500 index added 8.12, or 0.97%, to 842.5. For the week, the S&P 500 added 3.3%, and has cut its losses on 2009 to 6.7%. The Nasdaq Composite added 19.24, or 1.2%, to 1621.87, and is now up 2.8% for the year to date.
Today on ABC's Good Morning America, their financial-affairs advisor explained what was happening by using the analogy of a car race. The car that speeds ahead is the Market, followed by Spending, with Employment the last car racing to Recovery. So the conclusion is that the Market tells you where we stand.

While the advisor admitted that this could be a bear rally, her overall opinion was a positive one (citing small upticks in various economic reports).

I'm convinced. Are you?



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Thursday, April 02, 2009

Timeline:

15 Feb 2009: George Will wrote in the Washington Post:
... according to the U.N. World Meteorological Organization, there has been no recorded global warming for more than a decade ...[i.e. since 1998]
21 March 2009: The Secretary General of the World Metereological Organization wrote in the Washington Post:
It is a misinterpretation of the data and of scientific knowledge to point to one year as the warmest on record -- as was done in a recent Post column ["Dark Green Doomsayers," George F. Will, op-ed, Feb. 15] -- and then to extrapolate that cooler subsequent years invalidate the reality of global warming and its effects.
2 April 2009: George Will wrote in the Washington Post:
[Global] warming ... is allegedly occurring even though, according to statistics published by the World Meteorological Organization, there has not been a warmer year on record than 1998.


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Do ya feel lucky?

Long time readers of the Calculated Risk blog were probably surprised by the title of one of today's post:
Markets: Another Day at the Casino?
Mr. Calculated Risk is a sober type who only allows himself the occasional droll remark. As a rule, he keeps his opinion-level very low, and is always civil (even while the comment threads get raucous). This is the first time I've seen him characterize the stock market as a casino. He's referring to today's big up move, possibly related to the change in accounting that would allow banks to put their own value on their paper, which has the potential of actually reducing transparency (opinions vary).

If I had to guess, CR thinks that there is still some unwinding and fall-out from housing, manufacturing (autos), trade, and government activity (reduced at state and local level), and sees today's market action as not in accord with the 2009-2010 trend. He's up there in years (as am I) and no doubt recalls when real bottoms were in in 1974 and 1982, when everybody was totally disgusted (and disinterested) in stocks. Yes, there's been a lot of hurt in the last 18 months, but there are still strong pockets of "we're on the road to recovery" that indicate that greed hasn't been wrung out of Wall Street. Hence, the casino metaphor.



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Waiting for Yglesias:

Once again, George Will has penned a global-warming-skeptic column in the Washington Post. Fave excerpt:
[Global] warming ... is allegedly occurring even though, according to statistics published by the World Meteorological Organization, there has not been a warmer year on record than 1998.
As Jon Chait observes:
... Will (again) cites the unusually hot year of 1998 to prove that the planet isn't warming. He fails to understand a very basic concept in data that you don't need any particular social science expertise to grasp, which is that trends don't always move in a perfectly straight line. The planet has been getting warmer, and there was an extreme spike in 1998. Both these things can be true.
But back to Will & Yglesias. Matt has been very critical of George and the Post for printing his "lies" (Matt's chacterization). And you know that sometime soon - hopefully today - Yglesias will write an entertaining post on this latest event.

This is one aspect of blogs that's lots of fun.

UPDATE: Yglesias delivers, but also says "I’m beyond caring what Will is thinking or doing here", which may mean less fireworks going forward.

Also, from the comments, a link to various slams on Will (h/t Hodge).



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Wednesday, April 01, 2009

How can Colbert compete against this?

It's impossible.



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Paul Ryan's brilliant idea:

Yglesias has commented on it, but he failed to mention any specific numbers that Paul Ryan detailed in the "GOP's Alternative Budget". Ryan, writing in the Wall Street Journal, proposed that in addition to permanently restoring the Bush tax cuts of 2001 and 2003, that people have a choice between that system and another one. What's the other one?
If you are single and make over $50,000 ($100K for couples) the tax on income is 25%.
If you are making not $50 thousand, but $50 million, you can opt for system2 and instead of a marginal rate of 35%*, pay 25%, a savings of five million dollars. (And capital gains and dividends are taxed at 15%, so any taxes on those items is substantially reduced as well.)

We all know that a single person living in a metro area (like Los Angeles) making $50K has, after food, shelter, insurance, and transportation costs, about the same percentage of "spendable money" as the $50 millionaire. So it's logical that they both be taxed at the same marginal rate.

Brilliant. We need more thinkers like Ryan.

* 35% was the Bush top rate. 39% was the Clinton top rate which becomes effective if/when the Bush tax plan expires.



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